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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 19:27 |
U.S. private employers added 42,000 jobs in July, compared to a revised gain of 19,000 in June, a report by a payrolls processor showed on Wednesday. The June figure was originally reported as a gain of 13,000. The median of estimates from 33 economists surveyed by Reuters for the ADP Employer Services report, jointly developed with Macroeconomic Advisers LLC, was for a rise of 40,000 private-sector jobs in July. The ADP figures come ahead of the government's much more comprehensive labor market report on Friday, which includes both public and private sector employment. That report is expected to show a fall in overall nonfarm payrolls of 65,000 in July, based on a Reuters poll of analysts, but a rise in private payrolls of 90,000. [ECI/US] Economists often refer to the ADP report to fine-tune their expectations for the payrolls numbers, though it is not always accurate in predicting the outcome.REUTERS.(AR) |
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 04 August 2010 19:29 |
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Fundamental
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 19:08 |
U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on Wednesday blamed "misguided" Bush administration policies for running up huge fiscal deficits and called for an end to tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. Striking a note of austerity in prepared remarks to a conference sponsored by the Center for American Progress and the American Action Forum, Geithner said extending tax cuts for those making over $250,000 a year will only add to deficits. "Borrowing to finance tax cuts for the top two percent would be a $700-billion fiscal mistake," he said in speech excerpts released by the U.S. Treasury ahead of the address later on Wednesday. "It's not the prescription the economy needs now, and the country can't afford it." Ahead of November's U.S. congressional elections, President Barack Obama's Democratic party is struggling to maintain its support as the economic recovery slows with unemployment high. Geithner harked back to the former Clinton administration's record of posting surpluses in the late 1990s, contrasting it with the succeeding Bush administration that he said ran up huge debts, caused Americans' incomes to stagnate with few jobs created. "We are living today with the damage that misguided policy caused," Geithner said, adding that country needed to choose a new course.
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Currency
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 18:51 |
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* Dollar down 0.4 pct at 85.42 yen * Dip below 15-yr low 84.82 could pave way towards 80 yen * Weaker U.S. outlook, talk of Fed easing undermines dollar * Japan's Noda: recent forex moves one-sided * U.S. ADP jobs report eyed for direction
The dollar neared a 15-year low against the yen on Wednesday, staying under pressure across the board as weak U.S. data and talk of further policy easing by the Federal Reserve weighed on Treasury yields. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. home purchase contracts tumbled to a record low in June while factory orders fell more steeply than expected, implying an anaemic economic recovery for the remainder of this year. The numbers added to talk that the Fed might start a new round of Treasuries buying to pump funds into the economy. As the yen rose near highs last seen in 1995, Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda appeared to ramp up the administration's verbal warnings, saying current moves in the yen were somewhat one-sided. "Excessive and disorderly currency moves would negatively affect stability in the economy and financial markets, and therefore it's undesirable. In this regard I am closely watching market moves further," he added. But analysts said it would be difficult for Japanese authorities to step in to weaken the yen at this stage. Weak U.S. data and speculation of Fed easing pushed down U.S. two-year Treasury yields to a record low of 0.52 percent on Tuesday, suggesting limited upside for the dollar. "We see further dollar weakness ahead, with the Fed making it clear its priority is to support growth," said Ulrich Leuchtmann, currency analyst at Commerzbank. The dollar fell as far as 85.32 yen, its lowest since late November, and was trading at 85.42 at 1100 GMT, down 0.4 percent on the day. Traders said a decline beyond the 15-year low of 84.82 yen hit in November could open the way for the dollar to slide to the all-time low below 80 yen. Hefty options barriers are thought to be set around 85 yen, meaning a drop in the dollar could pick up speed below that level.
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Currency
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 11:39 |
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Pada perdagangan mata uang dipasar forex siang ini, terpantau mata Yen Jepang kembali mengalami penguatan terhadap US Dollar.
Perekonomian AS tampak kembali mengalami perlambatan, di mana beberapa hasil data ekonomi AS kemarin malam kurang memuaskan.
Saat ini Pair USD/JPY berada dikisaran 85,35 setelah pada akhir perdagangan pasar New York dini hari tadi ditutup di posisi 85,86. Suatu penurunan di bawah 85.00 "tampak tidak dapat dihindari," ujar senior dealer di quasi-public financial firm di Asia.
"Saya tidak mengekspektasi dollar jatuh di bawah Y85.00, tetapi pasar mulai berkomentar tentang stop-loss level penjualan besar selanjutnya di Y84.50," ujarnya. Trend USD lemah saat ini sepertinya terus sampai meeting FOMC pekan depan, menempatkan support di 82.00 untuk sekarang.
Data-data ekonomi yang dirilis kurang bersahabat kemarin memperkuat spekulasi the Fed akan terpaksa kembali terjun ke pasar untuk membeli sekuritas, atau program yang bernama Quantitative Easing (QE).
Sebelum data tersebut, datang pemberitaan dari Wall Street Journal bahwa the Fed sedang mempertimbangkan untuk membeli kembali sekuritas mortgage dan obligasi pemerintah.
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Commodity
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 19:04 |
* Equities falter, dollar firms versus currency basket * China gold market liberalisation seen supportive * Technical analysts turn cautiously optimistic Gold rose above $1,190 an ounce in Europe on Wednesday, benefiting from softer appetite for assets such as stocks and expectations of a rise in Chinese demand, though an ongoing dearth of safe-haven demand capped gains. Spot gold rose to a high of $1,197.05 an ounce, its strongest since July 23, and was bid at $1,196.15 an ounce at 1141 GMT versus $1,185.35 late in New York on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures for December delivery rose $10.90 to $1,198.40. The precious metal has lost much of the support that drove it to record highs earlier this year, based on concerns over economic growth and fiscal stability. Other factors are, however, now emerging to support gold after its dip. "The initial impetus of safe-haven buying of gold has faded away," said Standard Chartered analyst Daniel Smith. "We are slowly moving to other drivers." "Ultimately we are going to see more portfolio money coming into gold," he added. "We could see consolidation in the short term, but ultimately on a one to three month view we are going higher." Concerns over the pace of the recovery in the United States knocked equities on Wednesday, with European shares falling more than 1 percent to session lows. U.S. stock index futures also fell, pointing to a lower opening on Wall Street. [.N] [.EU] Weak U.S. consumer spending and housing data in recent days have fuelled speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve may further loosen monetary policy at its Aug. 10 meeting. This may favour gold, which tends to benefit from a looser economic policy. On the currency markets, the dollar fell towards a 15-year low against the yen, but was broadly flat against the euro and versus a basket of currencies. [FRX/] Among other commodities, oil prices slipped as a rally that lifted prices to three-month highs near $83 a day earlier lost steam, while industry data showed U.S. gasoline stockpiles rose unexpectedly last week. [O/R]
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Fundamental
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 15:46 |
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Bursa saham Tokyo anjlok pada hari Rabu (04/08) seiring dolar yang menyentuh angka terendah terhadap yen dalam delapan bulan, memukul Tokyo Electron, Canon, dan eksportir lainnya, sementara saham perbankan yang juga disupport oleh menguatnya pasar obligasi.
Investor kembali khawatir mengenai kenaikan yen seiring melemahnya data ekonomi AS yang memicu kekhawatiran bahwa Federal Reserve akan membiarkan kebijakan moneter longgar, berpontensi mendorong dolar lebih rendah.
"Investor was-was bahwa dolar akan turun di bawah 85 yen ketika mendekati sore hari", ungkap Eiji Kinouchi, ahli strategi senior di Eiji Kinouchi. Investor nampaknya akan fokus pada tren mata uang lebih intens dari sebelumnya, menambahkan bahwa jika yen stabil selama pekan berikutnya, Nikkei potensi melesat hingga 9800.
Nikkei melorot 204.67 point (2.1%) menjadi 9489.34. Indeks Topix dari keseluruhan Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section turun 13.25 poin (1.5%) menjadi Tokyo Stock Exchange First Section 845.93.
Diantra eksportir teknologi, Tokyo Electron melorot 5.0% menjadi Y4,510, sementara Canon turun 4.3% menjadi Y3,650 dan Sony tergelincir 3.0% menjadi Y2,647.
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 04 August 2010 15:51 |
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Currency
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Wednesday, 04 August 2010 10:38 |
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Dolar AS turun, Selasa malam (03/08), ke level terendah sejak April, terbebani oleh laporan berita bahwa para pejabat Federal Reserve akan mempertimbangkan adanya sedikit pergeseran kebijakan minggu depan ditengah kekhawatiran terhadap kekuatan pemulihan ekonomi AS.
Dollar melemah terhadap yen Jepang ke level terendah sejak tahun 1995.
The Wall Street Journal mengatakan pembuat kebijakan Fed akan mempertimbangkan menggunakan uang tunai dari jatuh tempo kepemilikan hipotek-obligasi untuk membeli kredit baru atau obligasi Treasury dan bukannya membiarkan portofolio menyusut. Keputusan kemungkinan akan sangat tergantung pada data ekonomi mendatang, termasuk laporan pekerjaan Juli pada hari Jumat, ungkap WSJ.
Indeks dolar, ukuran patokan terhadap sejumlah mata uang utama, jatuh ke 80,630, dari 80,870 pada akhir perdagangan di Amerika Utara hari Senin. Indeks tersebut turun menjadi 80,469 sebelumnya, terlemah sejak April.
Euro naik menjadi 1,3222, naik dari 1,3183 akhir Senin. Sempat naik ke tertinggi 1,3261, level tertinggi sejak Mei.
The British pound berpindah tangan pada 1,5950, naik dari 1,5910 pada Senin.
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 04 August 2010 10:41 |
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