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Currency
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Tuesday, 07 September 2010 15:06 |
Resiko penurunan AUD/USD lebih lanjut setelah pernyataan RBA dovish, kemenangan partai Buruh memimpin penurunan hari lalu, ujar GFT director of currency research Boris Schlossberg.
AUD/USD saat ini di 0.9119, turun dari di atas 0.9160 sebelumnya terhadap perkembangan keduanya. "Dengan tidak ada data pada kalender global, perdagangan dalam pasangan mata uang ini sepertinya digerakkan oleh kekhawatiran resiko bergerak akhir hari ini dan jika pasar ekuitas mulai menjual besar-besaran, kemudian angka 0.9100 sepertinya akan memberikan jalan karena pasar bereaksi atas ketidakpastian pertumbuhan ekonomi 'Down Under'," ujar Schlossberg.
RBA membiarkan suku bunga tidak berubah di 4.50% untuk bulan ke empat berlangsung seiring pembuat undang-undang memperhatikan outlook ekonomi globak ke depan dari tanda ekonomi domestik tetap kuat. |
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Currency
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Tuesday, 07 September 2010 14:36 |
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The AUD/USD had begun to recover toward 0.9150 after the Australian Labor party said they would form a government, ending weeks of a political standoff. The pair has been unable to sustain that rebound however, currently dropping further toward daily lows due to the recent RBA interest rate decision which left rates unchanged at 4.5%.
Currently the AUD/USD quotes at 0.9125 where it shows cautiously bearish tendencies. Immediate support levels to the downside are listed at 0.9100 and 0.9077 while resistance above is placed at 0.9161 and 0.9184. (fx street) |
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Currency
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Tuesday, 07 September 2010 14:34 |
The Dollar remains weak against the Japanese Yen, despite increasing rumours about intervention by the Bank of Japan, as the pair's retreat from 85.20 high on Friday is pulling lower, breaking below 84.00/10 support area to hit session low at 83.90 so far.
If the pair confirms its bearish move below 84.00, next support levels could be at 83.80 (Aug 31 low) and 83.60 (Aug 24 low). On the upside, immediate resistance level lies at 84.55/65 (Sept 1,2 highs) and above here, 85.20 (Sept 3 spike high) and 85.45 (Aug 27 high).
EUR/JPY recovery from 106.15 low on Aug 31 was capped on Friday at 109.55 high _right at Aug 30 high), and the pair's retreat has accelerated on Tuesday's Asian session, with the pair breaking below 108.30/35 support to reach session low at 107.30 so far. (fx street)
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Currency
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Tuesday, 07 September 2010 11:44 |
The Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the interest rate at 4.50% in September for fourth consecutive month as widely expected for most surveyed economists.
"The current setting of monetary policy is resulting in interest rates to borrowers around their average levels of the past decade. With growth in the near term likely to be close to trend, inflation close to target and with the global outlook remaining somewhat uncertain, the Board judged this setting of monetary policy to be appropriate for the time being", said the Reserve Bank of Australia today.
The Australian dollar dropped around 30 pips immediately after the release. AUD/USD is at 0.9135 from the 0.9165 zone. AUD/JPY lost 30 pips and is at the moment around 76.85. EUR/AUD jumped toward the 1.4000 area from 1.3970.
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Currency
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Tuesday, 07 September 2010 11:20 |
Open – 0.9145 Close – 0.9172
High [21.45 WIB] – 0.9182 Low [07.15 WIB]– 0.9147.
Dalam perdagangan hari Senin kemarin AUD stabil dalam range yang sangat sedikit, Aussie terpantau hanya bergerak sebesar 35 poin sejak dibuka hingga penutupan kemarin malam.
Para investor sangat berhati-hati karena pada hari ini RBA (Bank Sentral Australia) akan merilis tingkat suku bunga terbaru untuk Australia, banyak analis dari Eropa dan Asia yang menebak bahwa suku bunga sementara akan dipertahankan dalam level 4.5%, karena meskipun level normal yang dianggap baik oleh RBA adalah 4.75% - 5.00% akan tetapi level 4.5% ini dianggap sudah mampu mengantarkan perekonomian Australia menuju era yang lebih baik.
Dengan adanya rilis data yang bagus beberapa hari belakangan juga membuat banyak pihak yakin bahwa dengan tingkat suku bunga tersebut perekonomian Australia akan terbebas dari resesi global. Kemarin pagi pemerintah Australia merilis sebuah data penting yaitu AUD ANZ Job Advertisement yang naik tajam dari bulan sebelumnya sebesar 1.4% menjadi 2.6%, dengan adanya kondisi mumpuni dari sector tenaga kerja di Australia membuat pemerintah serta Bank Sentralnya tidak kebingungan dan hal ini tentunya berpengaruh positif pula pada pergerakan mata uangnya.
Kedepannya level 0.9223 masih menjadi resistance kuat bagi AUD agar dapat kembali membentuk form bullish, karena tahanan kuat tersebut dapat menjadi patokan bagi beberapa pihak agar mereka dapat bertindak lebih lanjut. (Budi/BDS) |
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